8 Jun

U.S. May Unemployment Rate Falls Again to 3.8%

General

Posted by: John Dunford

Today’s May employment report showed the jobless rate dropping unexpectedly even further to 3.8%–considerably below the level the Fed once considered to be full employment. It wasn’t long ago that the Fed estimated the long-run equilibrium jobless rate in the range of 4.3%-to-4.7%. Economic theory tells us that very tight labour markets can generate inflation […]

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20 May

Canadian Home Sales Hit Five-Year Low on Tougher Mortgage Rules

General

Posted by: John Dunford

Canadian home sales fell to the lowest in more than five years in April, as tougher mortgage qualification rules deterred buyers. The number of homes sold last month declined 2.9 percent from March, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday from Ottawa. Declines were recorded in about 60 percent of cities tracked including Vancouver, Calgary, […]

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15 May

It Just Got Harder To Qualify For A Mortgage

General

Posted by: John Dunford

An important number that affects the ability of millions of Canadians to qualify for a mortgage has changed. The Bank of Canada has raised its conventional five-year mortgage rate from 5.14% to 5.34%. The rate is the one used for stress tests under the B-20 mortgage lending guideline so any borrower with less than a […]

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10 May

B-20 Causing Housing Immobility

General

Posted by: John Dunford

According to one brokerage owner, the bureaucrats who determine mortgage lending rules are leading us down a path of reckoning. “I think if they continue on with the restrictive policies they’ve been putting in place, they’ll get what they want: A housing collapse in Toronto and Vancouver. Then what are they going to do?” said […]

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7 May

Rates Held Steady Now, But Gradual Hikes Signalled

General

Posted by: John Dunford

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met this week for the second time under the chairmanship of Jerome Powell. In a unanimous decision, the Committee left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent. Unlike the Bank of Canada, which has a single objective of targeting inflation at roughly […]

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7 May

Poloz Says Canadians Owe $2 Trillion As Central Bank Mulls Next Rate Hike

General

Posted by: John Dunford

Canadians have amassed a $2-trillion mountain of household debt that’s casting a big shadow over the timing of the Bank of Canada’s next interest rate hike, governor Stephen Poloz said in a speech Tuesday in Yellowknife. To Poloz, the “sheer size” of debt burden also means its associated risks to endure for a while, although […]

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4 May

Jumping Mortgage Rates Further Tighten Debt Vise for Canadians

General

Posted by: John Dunford

The indefatigable ability of Canadians to shoulder an ever increasing mountain of debt is being tested. The country’s biggest banks began raising key borrowing rates last week, just as the busy season for residential real estate gets underway. In addition, the mortgage market looks set for a particularly heavy year of renewals in an environment […]

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4 May

Mortgage Growth In Canada Hasn’t Been This Weak Since 2001

General

Posted by: John Dunford

Canada’s mortgage growth has fallen to the lowest in nearly two decades as interest rates rise and after new mortgage rules took effect at the start of the year. Total residential mortgage credit grew just 0.3 percent on average over the last three months, the slowest since 2001, Bank of Canada data show. That’s down […]

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